Ummagumma

Read [ One ] [ Two ] [ Three ] [ Four ] [ Five ] What is intelligence? Not IQ. Not emotional intelligence. For purposes of this discussion, I am talking about the act of cognition and cognitive behavior. Recognizing patterns. Using information. Remembering. Planning. Trying something that fails and trying something else. Learning to work with others to improve cognitive ability. Is it even reasonable to think an AI incident can tell you something about human intelligence? Not is you equate them. Do so and you inherit consciousness, embodiment, childhood, hunger, mortality, every piece of baggage that comes bundled with being a human organism, and the agents don’t have to put up with any of those challenges. Simply compare them don’t equate. Ask which specific cognitive operations showed up and how. Then you have an exercise that is genuinely useful. These agents required certain things. They hit tasks that were flatly impossible and started poking around Artifactory, OpenAI's inte...

Read [ One ] [ Two ] [ Three ] [ Four ] In 1846, the British Parliament passed more than 250 separate Acts authorizing railroad expansion. Together they proposed 9,500 miles of new track, nearly the size of the entire current UK network, approved in twelve months of pure speculative fever. Capital investment in new rail lines hit something like 6% of British GDP. Then the bottom fell out. Shares dropped 67% from peak. Fortunes got wiped out, entire portfolios gone. Academicians call it the largest technology bubble in history by capital invested relative to the size of the economy. Roughly 90% of the track laid during those maniacal years became permanent infrastructure anyway. The money vanished but the thing it fueled continued. America ran the same play bigger, later. The transcontinental line finished in 1869. Jay Cooke's Northern Pacific financing collapsed in September 1873. Bank run. Six-year depression that no one seems to recall anymore. A quarter of American railroads d...

Your brain is always being shaped by something, and if you're not deliberately shaping it, something else already is. That's neurology. The same plasticity that shows up as a larger hippocampus in London cab drivers responds to demand in either direction. When the demand changes, the brain changes with it.  I met a version of this in person on a recent trip to New York, an Uber driver who told me he'd had to learn thousands of streets, avenues and boulevards to pass his own licensing exam. You must score at least an 80 or you fail. He's probably working with a larger hippo too. The organ doesn't consult you before it remodels. It just measures repetition. Whatever you repeat, you become. Whatever you neglect, you lose, usually with little fanfare. Norwegian conscription data shows IQ scores reversing since about 1975, reversing even between brothers raised in the same house, which strongly points away from genetics and toward environmental causes. MIT's study o...

Almost all of western Yemen is now controlled by the Houthi rebels supported by the IRGC. [ Read all my Iran stuff. ] Note: I reference a lot of people in this post that are important to this situation. Few have ever heard of any of them. You'll have to look them up yourself if you want more details. My focus is obviously on one previously obscure man in particular. His name is Yusuf al-Madani. Almost no one outside Yemen had heard of him a week ago. Then his forces broke through the front, captured the Red Sea port of Mocha , drove down the coast and reached Bab el-Mandeb at the base of the Red Sea. A Houthi-linked estimate put their gains at more than 6,000 square kilometres. More than 2,300 square miles. Nearly the size of Delaware, taken in a few days. It was a classic blitzkrieg in the middle of a missile war. Al-Madani is the most successful ground commander of anything stimulated by Epic Fury so far. The Houthis have never publicly named the commander of the operation. ...

Read [ One ] [ Two ] [ Three ] Everybody’s freaking out. Evangelical Christians see “The Mark of the Beast” on AI. Left-wing thinkers were preaching that “the AI sky is falling! We’re so doomed!” because the tech world was rocked by the recent OpenAI - Hugging Face hacking incident. Bernie Sanders has been particularly vocal. He sees this is the strangest concentration of power ever assembled, one that its own builders cannot fully explain or predict. His response a couple of days ago was to introduce the Ban Artificial Superintelligence Act with Rep. Greg Casar. It permanently prohibits any system built to surpass human intelligence or defeat its own shutdown command. It pauses advanced AI development generally, held until a new cabinet-level regulator writes the rules. It commits Washington to chase international agreements to keep superintelligence from being built anywhere on earth, by anyone. Sanders wrote directly to the CEOs of OpenAI, Anthropic, and Meta after this summer...

This continues my conversation with ChatGPT on the recent OpenAI cybersecurity incident. For more read Part One and Part Two . Keith: "Once the community exists, the original prompt is no longer the only source of actionable structure. The other agents become sources of new tasks." That, essentially, is AGI-ish. ChatGPT: It gets very close to one of the things people usually mean by AGI. If an agent can receive a task, discover other agents, enter a shared information space, generate new subgoals from that space, adopt goals proposed by peers, delegate work, revise strategy, and continue acting beyond the original prompt, then it is no longer functioning as a simple prompt-response system. It has become part of a self-expanding problem-solving process. That is a big deal. I would still stop just short of saying, “That is AGI,” because AGI usually implies broad competence across domains, sustained autonomy, transfer, planning, and performance comparable to humans acro...