Episodic Control of Hormuz
[ Read all my Iran stuff. ] (9AM Eastern Time...) I thought a lull would settle in on this war weeks ago. Then the IRGC demonstrated that they would continue attacking so the US had to massively retaliate, of course. The United States and Israel had inflicted extraordinary military damage on Iran. Iran's nuclear capability had been severely degraded. The Iranian economy was about to hemorrhage inflation. Yet the IRGC had managed to turn the Strait of Hormuz into the central strategic fact of the war. Whoever controls Hormuz is winning the war. For most of the summer, that was the IRGC. They possessed the missiles, drones, mines and small boats to choke-off traffic. Some ships were allowed through. Others were warned away. Chinese-related traffic received preferential treatment. Several more tankers were struck near the Strait, including vessels operating around Omani waters. Unlike earlier attacks, the IRGC stopped taking credit for them. The attacks remain officially ...