Most Likely: The 2026 Atlanta Braves (so far)
I was playing around with ChatGPT about baseball facts and stats recently. The Atlanta Braves are off to a fantastic, even commanding, start to the 2026 MLB season. I’m a happy fan. Best record in baseball. Best team batting average. Best team ERA. Baseball can be a complex sport but when are batting better than anyone and giving up the fewest earned runs you are going to win a lot of ballgames. During the course of a long chat, I wandered upon some team baseball stats that shocked me. Far more likely than not, any given team will lose any given game if they fail to score 4 runs or more. The opponent's score does not matter (except indirectly). Disregarding everything else, just looking at runs your team scored, there is a huge gulf between 4 runs and 3 runs. Even more important is the percentage of games you play while scoring 4 runs or more. Needless to say, the Braves are dominant here. Atlanta is the only team in baseball that scores at least 4 runs over 70% of the time (Tam...