Powerplay: The Region Reacts to the IRGC
[ See all my Iran stuff. ] Reuters reported early today that “Iran’s Revolutionary Guards navy said” it had closed the Strait of Hormuz “until further notice” after firing a warning shot at a vessel it said had attempted to transit along an unapproved route. A navy official, representing a force that has been effectively obliterated, announced that the Strait of Hormuz is closed. Traffic has crawled to a minimum. A country without a traditional navy has stopped the use of international waters. You can't make this stuff up. The IRGC does not need a navy. It’s got missiles. Probably hundreds more, though most are likely of dubious quality. It does not need to control the Strait in the way navies once controlled water. It simply needs to make ship captains pause. It needs insurers to reprice. It needs oil traders to flinch. It needs everyone to wonder whether the next tanker becomes the next message. Epic Fury broke much of Iran’s old deterrent. It exposed what Israel could reach. It ...